India vs England 3rd Test Prediction: Who Has the Edge at Lord’s and What the Odds Say

Here we go again. The third Test between India and England kicks off July 10 at Lord’s, and no one’s got a clear upper hand. India’s got recent memories of success at this ground, while England will back themselves with their home advantage and a fiery pace attack.

This isn't just another five-day affair. It’s a match with weight. Possibly a series decider. If you're tracking odds, looking for value, or just want to predict which way the match could tilt—you're in the right place.

The Essentials

• Match: England vs India, 3rd Test
• Date: July 10–14, 2025
• Time: 3:30 PM IST
• Venue: Lord’s Cricket Ground, London

Squads: Who’s In, Who Can Change the Game

England

Ben Stokes leads a strong side, backed by veterans like Joe Root and Harry Brook. They’ve got Archer and Woakes in the attack—both dangerous on English soil.

Other names to watch: Jamie Smith (the new keeper), Zak Crawley, Duckett, and Jofra Archer (yes, he’s back and could cause serious damage).

India

Shubman Gill is captaining, with Pant returning as wicketkeeper. KL Rahul, Yashasvi Jaiswal, and Jadeja bring experience and balance. The bowling attack includes Bumrah, Siraj, and Kuldeep—who’ll be crucial if the pitch starts turning by Day 4.

Pant’s return makes things interesting. He brings unpredictability—good and bad—but match-winning potential.

Lord’s Pitch & What to Expect

Lord’s isn’t just any ground. That slope can mess with even the best batters. Seamers usually dominate early, then batting gets easier on Day 2 and 3. Come Day 4 and 5, reverse swing and spin come into play.

• Average first innings score: Around 300
• Conditions: Overcast early forecasted—good for swing
• Toss impact: Big. If it’s cloudy, bowl first. If not, bat and build pressure

India’s pace attack likes movement. Bumrah especially thrives in English conditions. England, though, have a serious depth of seamers. If you’re making any odds calls, the first session on Day 1 might give you more insight than anything else.

Odds Breakdown (Approximate)

• England win: 2.10
• India win: 2.75
• Draw: 3.80

England are slight favorites—but that’s more about venue history than current form. India have won two of their last three Tests at Lord’s. That’s not a fluke.

What the Odds Really Mean

The market respects England’s home conditions. But there's value on India—especially with Pant and Bumrah firing.

If you’re into odds-based decisions, don’t just chase the outright. Look deeper.

Player Matchups That Matter

Root vs Bumrah

Always fun. Root has the technique, but Bumrah’s tight line and reverse swing can trap him on the crease.

Pant vs Archer

If Pant walks in early, and Archer’s bowling full and quick, expect fireworks—or a sudden collapse. That battle could flip a session.

Jaiswal vs Woakes

Jaiswal's calmness vs Woakes’ ability to exploit the slope and early movement could decide the tone of India’s innings.

Session Bets & Predictions

First Innings Score – India:
If they bat first under the sun: 325+ possible
Under clouds: under 275 more likely

England First Innings:
They’re more aggressive up top. Expect a faster start but higher risk. Could either be 150/5 or 350/5.

First Wicket Partnership:
India might outlast England in terms of early discipline. Back India’s openers to score more than 30.

Who Could Be the Difference-Makers?

India

• Bumrah – Hasn’t lost zip, and his accuracy still rattles top orders
• Jadeja – Not flashy, but he holds the innings together, especially if pitch starts taking turn
• Pant – Could win it in a session—or lose it. But his fearlessness is needed

England

• Root – Dependable. Calm under pressure.
• Stokes – His leadership and risk-taking can swing the game
• Archer – If he gets the ball moving early, India’s top order could be in real trouble

Toss Prediction: Bat or Bowl?

If it’s overcast: bowl first.
If it’s dry and sunny: bat and cash in before Day 4 demons arrive.

Gill will likely choose to bat. Stokes, knowing him, might bowl even in the sun.

Our Match Prediction

Let’s not sugarcoat it. This is close. But the small edge goes to India—not just because of recent wins at Lord’s, but because this is a more balanced squad right now.

• Prediction: India to win
• Margin: Likely in 4 days
• Top scorer: KL Rahul
• Most wickets: Jasprit Bumrah
• Surprise impact: Kuldeep Yadav on Day 4

Responsible Betting Advice

If you're putting money on this, remember: cricket betting in India comes with risks. Be smart. Don’t bet more than you can afford to lose. Don’t chase losses. And avoid betting emotionally just because you love a player or team.

Stick to what you can back with reasoning. Look at data, past performances, pitch reports, and team dynamics.

And when in doubt—don’t bet.

Where to Get Smarter with Cricket Betting in India

For live cricket odds, smart match predictions, and breakdowns you can actually use, check out CricketBettingTips.org.

They keep things clean—no spammy picks, no hype. Just straight-up analysis, odds comparisons, and strategy pieces to help you bet responsibly and think like a pro.